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i built a site that grades polymarket traders on skill instead of profit

polymarket's leaderboard ranks people by profit, but a lot of the names at the top just had one lucky week. when i checked the weekly top 10 a couple days ago, 7 of them were down before that week even started so i made sharps (sharpshq.com/?ref=reddit). it pulls each trader's full on chain history and gives them a score out of 100 based on edge per dollar traded, how many trades, how much of their profit came from one big bet, and how they've done lately stuff it does: - live whale tra

五维评分

付费意愿
45
需求真实度
58
个人可落地
88
竞争空间
52
新鲜度
78

AI 分析

痛点:Polymarket 的排行榜按盈利排名,靠一次运气押注上榜的“假高手”太多,交易者缺少可信的、按真实技术水平的评分与跟单信号。

目标用户:Polymarket 等预测市场的活跃交易者、想跟单的散户,以及需要筛选交易员的外部基金或数据分析方

证据:polymarket's leaderboard ranks people by profit, but a lot of the names at the top just had one lucky week. when i checked the weekly top 10 a couple days ago, 7 of them were down before that week even started

变现:免费查询评分吸引流量;付费订阅解锁实时鲸鱼警报、Sharps vs Crowd 信号推送和 API;后续可做跟单或信号订阅分成

MVP:用 Polymarket 公开 API 和链上数据抓取交易历史,计算 edge per dollar、盈利集中度、近期表现等指标得出 0-100 分;两周内做出可分享的评分卡页面和每周鲸鱼交易播报邮件

竞品:Polymarket 官方 Leaderboard、Polymarket Analytics、Dune 上的 Polymarket 仪表盘、各类 Polymarket 跟单机器人

摘要:作者单人用 Cloudflare Workers 和 Supabase 做了 sharpshq.com,对 Polymarket 交易者按 edge per dollar、交易次数、盈利集中度和近期表现打分。作者指出周榜前 10 名里有 7 人在上榜前就已经亏损,说明仅按盈利排名确实失真。项目刚上线,尚无付费或收入数据,付费意愿待验证,但预测市场赛道热度和独立开发可行性都不错。