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I built an NFL model that replays every game 6,000 times and grades itself in public. Looking for beta testers to tell me what's broken.

I built FieldDay Analytics, and I'm looking for 50 people who follow the NFL to use it free for 2 weeks and tell me what's confusing, wrong or missing. I've spent the last 6 months on this, I know its still rough around the edges but I am really proud of it and has become an integral part of my betting, and fantasy interests. What it does: - Simulates every NFL game play by play, 6,000 times, from team usage, the injury report and the consensus spread and total. - Shows

五维评分

付费意愿
58
需求真实度
50
个人可落地
60
竞争空间
30
新鲜度
45

AI 分析

痛点:NFL 博彩和范特西(Fantasy)玩家缺少透明、可验证、能解释原因的模型信号,市面上的模型大多是黑箱,且不敢公开自己的输赢记录。

目标用户:NFL 体育博彩玩家和 fantasy football 进阶玩家,愿意为提高下注胜率(edge)付费的人群

证据:I've spent the last 6 months on this... has become an integral part of my betting, and fantasy interests. / Shows where the model disagrees with market lines on player props, and why / The Live record starts in week 8 (17-4 right now up over 8 units.) / whether you'd ever pay for it

变现:按月或按赛季订阅,免费层只展示公开战绩,付费层解锁球员 props 的分歧信号和解释;可叠加博彩联盟营销(affiliate)导流分成。

MVP:2 周内只做单一细分:NFL 球员 props(如接球数、冲球数)的“模型线 vs 市场线”对比表,外加一个公开、不可篡改的战绩页;用公开数据做简单的蒙特卡洛模拟(1 万次),用 Stripe 或 Gumroad 收款,把公开战绩页作为主要获客渠道。

竞品:OddsJam、Unabated、BettingPros、Establish The Run、PlayerProfiler

摘要:开发者花 6 个月做了 FieldDay Analytics,对每场 NFL 比赛做 6000 次逐回合模拟,给出与盘口分歧的球员 props 及背后原因,并公开打分;目前公开战绩 17-4、盈利超 8 个单位。他在招 50 名免费 beta 测试者,并直接问对方“你是否愿意付费”,但尚无他人付费验证,付费意愿主要是他本人的推断。体育博彩分析赛道竞品密集,独立开发者可从单一 props 细分和公开可验证战绩切入。